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Elections

Upcoming national elections in Europe and the latest results. Polls shown are those filed with France’s Commission des sondages, with the mentions the law requires; no average or projection is computed here.

2027 French presidential election

Who will be elected President of France?

1st round 18 April 2027 · 2nd round 2 May 2027 · dates set on 1 July 2026

168 days

Declared candidates · first-round voting intentions

  • Marine Le PenRN
    32.5–37%
  • Jean-Luc MélenchonLFI
    15–18.5%
  • Édouard PhilippeHorizons
    10–17%
  • Raphaël GlucksmannPlace publique
    11–15.5%
  • Bruno RetailleauLR
    4–8%
  • Gabriel AttalRenaissance
    4–8%
  • David LisnardNouvelle Énergie
    6–7%
  • Marine TondelierLes Écologistes
    1–6%
  • Éric ZemmourReconquête
    3–5%
  • Fabien RousselPCF
    1–3%
  • Nicolas Dupont-AignanDLF
    1–3%
  • Nathalie ArthaudLO
    < 0,5–1%

Range: lowest and highest score in each pollster’s latest survey (first published scenario).

Tested in some polls without being declared candidates: Dominique de Villepin, François Hollande, Karim Bouamrane, François Ruffin, Jordan Bardella.

Each dot is a poll (first first-round scenario)

010203040JunJulAugSeptOctMarine Le Pen 36% · OpinionWay · 22 October 2026Marine Le Pen 33.5% · Ipsos bva · 22 October 2026Marine Le Pen 33% · Cluster17 · 22 October 2026Marine Le Pen 33% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 21 October 2026Marine Le Pen 36% · Ifop-Fiducial · 19 October 2026Marine Le Pen 32.5% · Elabe · 16 October 2026Marine Le Pen 36% · YouGov · 15 October 2026Marine Le Pen 31% · Cluster17 · 15 October 2026Marine Le Pen 35% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Marine Le Pen 35% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Marine Le Pen 32% · Ifop-Fiducial · 14 October 2026Marine Le Pen 37% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 October 2026Marine Le Pen 32% · Ifop-Fiducial · 29 September 2026Marine Le Pen 36% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 24 September 2026Marine Le Pen 34% · YouGov · 21 September 2026Marine Le Pen 30.8% · Cluster17 · 16 September 2026Marine Le Pen 35% · Ifop-Fiducial · 11 September 2026Marine Le Pen 36% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 10 September 2026Marine Le Pen 32% · OpinionWay · 10 September 2026Marine Le Pen 34% · OpinionWay · 9 September 2026Marine Le Pen 33% · Ipsos bva · 9 September 2026Marine Le Pen 35% · OpinionWay · 3 September 2026Marine Le Pen 34% · Ipsos bva · 2 September 2026Marine Le Pen 30% · Cluster17 · 1 September 2026Marine Le Pen 34% · Elabe · 28 August 2026Marine Le Pen 33% · Ifop-Fiducial · 25 August 2026Marine Le Pen 38% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 19 August 2026Marine Le Pen 30.1% · Cluster17 · 24 July 2026Marine Le Pen 37% · Verian · 10 July 2026Marine Le Pen 35% · Elabe · 10 July 2026Marine Le Pen 35% · OpinionWay · 9 July 2026Marine Le Pen 36% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 July 2026Marine Le Pen 36% · Ifop-Fiducial · 8 July 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16% · OpinionWay · 22 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · Ipsos bva · 22 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 18.5% · Cluster17 · 22 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 21 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16.5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 19 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · Elabe · 16 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · YouGov · 15 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 18% · Cluster17 · 15 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16% · Ifop-Fiducial · 14 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 19% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 October 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · Ifop-Fiducial · 29 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 24 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · YouGov · 21 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 19.1% · Cluster17 · 16 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · Ifop-Fiducial · 11 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 10 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16% · OpinionWay · 10 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · OpinionWay · 9 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15.5% · Ipsos bva · 9 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · OpinionWay · 3 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · Ipsos bva · 2 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17.9% · Cluster17 · 1 September 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Elabe · 28 August 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16% · Ifop-Fiducial · 25 August 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 17% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 19 August 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 18.2% · Cluster17 · 24 July 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · Verian · 10 July 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16% · Elabe · 10 July 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · OpinionWay · 9 July 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 16% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 July 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · Ifop-Fiducial · 8 July 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Ifop-Fiducial · 24 June 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Ipsos bva · 28 May 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Ifop-Fiducial · 28 May 2026Jean-Luc Mélenchon 15% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 27 May 2026Édouard Philippe 12% · OpinionWay · 22 October 2026Édouard Philippe 13% · Ipsos bva · 22 October 2026Édouard Philippe 16% · Cluster17 · 22 October 2026Édouard Philippe 15% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 21 October 2026Édouard Philippe 12% · Ifop-Fiducial · 19 October 2026Édouard Philippe 16.5% · Elabe · 16 October 2026Édouard Philippe 10% · YouGov · 15 October 2026Édouard Philippe 17% · Cluster17 · 15 October 2026Édouard Philippe 12% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Édouard Philippe 12% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Édouard Philippe 13% · Ifop-Fiducial · 14 October 2026Édouard Philippe 16% · Ifop-Fiducial · 29 September 2026Édouard Philippe 12% · YouGov · 21 September 2026Édouard Philippe 18.8% · Cluster17 · 16 September 2026Édouard Philippe 14% · Ifop-Fiducial · 11 September 2026Édouard Philippe 16% · OpinionWay · 10 September 2026Édouard Philippe 15% · OpinionWay · 9 September 2026Édouard Philippe 14% · Ipsos bva · 9 September 2026Édouard Philippe 14.5% · Ipsos bva · 2 September 2026Édouard Philippe 18.2% · Cluster17 · 1 September 2026Édouard Philippe 17% · Elabe · 28 August 2026Édouard Philippe 14.5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 25 August 2026Édouard Philippe 18.1% · Cluster17 · 24 July 2026Édouard Philippe 17% · Verian · 10 July 2026Édouard Philippe 16.5% · Elabe · 10 July 2026Édouard Philippe 18% · OpinionWay · 9 July 2026Édouard Philippe 14% · Ifop-Fiducial · 24 June 2026Édouard Philippe 13% · Ipsos bva · 28 May 2026Édouard Philippe 14% · Ifop-Fiducial · 28 May 2026Édouard Philippe 17% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 27 May 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 13% · OpinionWay · 22 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 13% · Ipsos bva · 22 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 13% · Cluster17 · 22 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 12% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 21 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 13.5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 19 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 15.5% · Elabe · 16 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 12% · YouGov · 15 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11% · Cluster17 · 15 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 13% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 13% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11.5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 14 October 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11% · Ifop-Fiducial · 29 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 8% · YouGov · 21 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11.8% · Cluster17 · 16 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 9% · Ifop-Fiducial · 11 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 9% · OpinionWay · 9 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11.5% · Ipsos bva · 9 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 13% · OpinionWay · 3 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11.5% · Ipsos bva · 2 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11.6% · Cluster17 · 1 September 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11.5% · Elabe · 28 August 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11% · Ifop-Fiducial · 25 August 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 10.2% · Cluster17 · 24 July 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11% · Verian · 10 July 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 10.5% · Elabe · 10 July 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 9% · OpinionWay · 9 July 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 12% · Ifop-Fiducial · 8 July 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 9% · Ifop-Fiducial · 24 June 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 11% · Ipsos bva · 28 May 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 9% · Ifop-Fiducial · 28 May 2026Raphaël Glucksmann 10% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 27 May 2026Bruno Retailleau 6% · OpinionWay · 22 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 7.5% · Ipsos bva · 22 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · Cluster17 · 22 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 4% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 21 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 19 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 7% · Elabe · 16 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 6% · YouGov · 15 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 7% · Cluster17 · 15 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 6% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 7% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 14 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 10% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 October 2026Bruno Retailleau 7% · Ifop-Fiducial · 29 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 10% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 24 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · YouGov · 21 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 7.6% · Cluster17 · 16 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 6.5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 11 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 10% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 10 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 7% · OpinionWay · 10 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · OpinionWay · 9 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 7% · Ipsos bva · 9 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 11% · OpinionWay · 3 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 6% · Ipsos bva · 2 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 7.5% · Cluster17 · 1 September 2026Bruno Retailleau 6.5% · Elabe · 28 August 2026Bruno Retailleau 6% · Ifop-Fiducial · 25 August 2026Bruno Retailleau 9% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 19 August 2026Bruno Retailleau 7.8% · Cluster17 · 24 July 2026Bruno Retailleau 7% · Verian · 10 July 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · Elabe · 10 July 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · OpinionWay · 9 July 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 July 2026Bruno Retailleau 10% · Ifop-Fiducial · 8 July 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · Ifop-Fiducial · 24 June 2026Bruno Retailleau 7.5% · Ipsos bva · 28 May 2026Bruno Retailleau 8% · Ifop-Fiducial · 28 May 2026Bruno Retailleau 9% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 27 May 2026Gabriel Attal 4% · OpinionWay · 22 October 2026Gabriel Attal 4% · Ipsos bva · 22 October 2026Gabriel Attal 5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 19 October 2026Gabriel Attal 6% · YouGov · 15 October 2026Gabriel Attal 5% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Gabriel Attal 7% · OpinionWay · 14 October 2026Gabriel Attal 5% · Ifop-Fiducial · 14 October 2026Gabriel Attal 12% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 October 2026Gabriel Attal 8% · Ifop-Fiducial · 29 September 2026Gabriel Attal 13% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 24 September 2026Gabriel Attal 9% · YouGov · 21 September 2026Gabriel Attal 7% · Ifop-Fiducial · 11 September 2026Gabriel Attal 15% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 10 September 2026Gabriel Attal 8% · OpinionWay · 10 September 2026Gabriel Attal 8% · OpinionWay · 9 September 2026Gabriel Attal 6% · Ipsos bva · 9 September 2026Gabriel Attal 13% · OpinionWay · 3 September 2026Gabriel Attal 7.5% · Ipsos bva · 2 September 2026Gabriel Attal 8% · Ifop-Fiducial · 25 August 2026Gabriel Attal 14% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 19 August 2026Gabriel Attal 8% · Verian · 10 July 2026Gabriel Attal 7% · OpinionWay · 9 July 2026Gabriel Attal 16% · Toluna Harris Interactive · 8 July 2026Gabriel Attal 15% · Ifop-Fiducial · 8 July 2026Gabriel Attal 8% · Ifop-Fiducial · 24 June 2026Gabriel Attal 8.5% · Ipsos bva · 28 May 2026Gabriel Attal 9% · Ifop-Fiducial · 28 May 2026
  • Marine Le Pen
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon
  • Édouard Philippe
  • Raphaël Glucksmann
  • Bruno Retailleau
  • Gabriel Attal

Second-round scenarios · latest poll for each pairing

  • Raphaël Glucksmann 44%56% Marine Le Pen

    OpinionWay for CNews · 22 October 2026 · notice

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 31%69% Marine Le Pen

    OpinionWay for CNews · 22 October 2026 · notice

  • Édouard Philippe 44%56% Marine Le Pen

    OpinionWay for CNews · 22 October 2026 · notice

  • Gabriel Attal 42%58% Marine Le Pen

    Ifop-Fiducial for LCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio · 19 October 2026 · notice

  • François Hollande 41%59% Marine Le Pen

    Ifop-Fiducial for LCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio · 19 October 2026 · notice

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon 34%66% Édouard Philippe

    YouGov for Le HuffPost · 15 October 2026 · notice

All 37 published polls, with their legal mentions
Pollster · clientFieldworkSampleFirst first-round scenarioNotice
OpinionWayCNews21 October 2026 – 22 October 2026973en ligne (CAWI), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 36% · Mélenchon 16% · Glucksmann 13% · Philippe 12% · Lisnard 6%View
Ipsos bvaLe Parisien21 October 2026 – 22 October 20261,500en ligne (Access Panel Ipsos), quotasPen 33.5% · Mélenchon 17% · Glucksmann 13% · Philippe 13% · Retailleau 7.5%View
Cluster17Politico19 October 2026 – 22 October 20262,817en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 33% · Mélenchon 18.5% · Philippe 16% · Glucksmann 13% · Retailleau 8%View
Toluna Harris InteractiveM6, RTL19 October 2026 – 21 October 20262,094en ligne, quotasPen 33% · Mélenchon 17% · Philippe 15% · Glucksmann 12% · Lisnard 7%View
Ifop-FiducialLCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio17 October 2026 – 19 October 20261,928en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 36% · Mélenchon 16.5% · Glucksmann 13.5% · Philippe 12% · Attal 5%View
ElabeBFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche14 October 2026 – 16 October 20261,701en ligne (Internet), quotasPen 32.5% · Philippe 16.5% · Glucksmann 15.5% · Mélenchon 15% · Retailleau 7%View
YouGovLe HuffPost12 October 2026 – 15 October 20261,094en ligne (panel YouGov), quotasPen 36% · Mélenchon 15% · Glucksmann 12% · Philippe 10% · Tondelier 6%View
Cluster17Le Point14 October 2026 – 15 October 20261,263en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 31% · Mélenchon 18% · Philippe 17% · Glucksmann 11% · Lisnard 7%View
OpinionWayCNews13 October 2026 – 14 October 20261,043en ligne (CAWI), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 35% · Mélenchon 15% · Glucksmann 13% · Philippe 12% · Retailleau 6%View
OpinionWayLes Echos, Radio Classique13 October 2026 – 14 October 20261,001en ligne (CAWI), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 35% · Mélenchon 14% · Glucksmann 13% · Philippe 12% · Attal 7%View
Ifop-FiducialLCI, Sud Radio12 October 2026 – 14 October 20261,390en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 32% · Mélenchon 16% · Philippe 13% · Glucksmann 11.5% · Lisnard 6%View
Toluna Harris InteractiveM6, RTL5 October 2026 – 8 October 20262,004en ligne, quotasPen 37% · Mélenchon 19% · Attal 12% · Retailleau 10% · Hollande 7%View
Ifop-FiducialLCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio25 September 2026 – 29 September 20261,527en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 32% · Philippe 16% · Mélenchon 15% · Glucksmann 11% · Attal 8%View
Toluna Harris InteractiveM6, RTL22 September 2026 – 24 September 20261,974en ligne, quotasPen 36% · Mélenchon 17% · Attal 13% · Retailleau 10% · Hollande 8%View
YouGovLe HuffPost17 September 2026 – 21 September 20261,103en ligne (panel YouGov), quotasPen 34% · Mélenchon 17% · Philippe 12% · Attal 9% · Glucksmann 8%View
Cluster17Politico15 September 2026 – 16 September 20261,943en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 30.8% · Mélenchon 19.1% · Philippe 18.8% · Glucksmann 11.8% · Retailleau 7.6%View
Ifop-FiducialParti du vote blanc9 September 2026 – 11 September 20261,548en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 35% · Mélenchon 17% · Philippe 14% · Glucksmann 9% · Attal 7%View
Toluna Harris InteractiveM6, RTL8 September 2026 – 10 September 20262,052en ligne, quotasPen 36% · Mélenchon 17% · Attal 15% · Retailleau 10% · Hollande 7%View
OpinionWayCNews9 September 2026 – 10 September 20261,001en ligne (CAWI), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 32% · Mélenchon 16% · Philippe 16% · Attal 8% · Hollande 7%View
OpinionWayLes Echos, Radio Classique8 September 2026 – 9 September 20261,001en ligne (CAWI), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 34% · Mélenchon 15% · Philippe 15% · Glucksmann 9% · Attal 8%View
Ipsos bvaLe Monde, Cevipof, Fondation Jean-Jaurès, Institut Montaigne3 September 2026 – 9 September 202613,060en ligne (Access Panel Ipsos), quotasPen 33% · Mélenchon 15.5% · Philippe 14% · Glucksmann 11.5% · Retailleau 7%View
OpinionWayLe JDD2 September 2026 – 3 September 20261,003en ligne (CAWI), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 35% · Mélenchon 17% · Glucksmann 13% · Attal 13% · Retailleau 11%View
Ipsos bvaLe Parisien31 August 2026 – 2 September 20261,500en ligne (Access Panel Ipsos), quotasPen 34% · Mélenchon 15% · Philippe 14.5% · Glucksmann 11.5% · Attal 7.5%View
Cluster17Le Point31 August 2026 – 1 September 20261,711en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 30% · Philippe 18.2% · Mélenchon 17.9% · Glucksmann 11.6% · Retailleau 7.5%View
ElabeBFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche26 August 2026 – 28 August 20261,501en ligne (Internet), quotasPen 34% · Philippe 17% · Mélenchon 14% · Glucksmann 11.5% · Retailleau 6.5%View
Ifop-FiducialLCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio24 August 2026 – 25 August 20261,598en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 33% · Mélenchon 16% · Philippe 14.5% · Glucksmann 11% · Attal 8%View
Toluna Harris InteractiveM6, RTL18 August 2026 – 19 August 20261,764en ligne, quotasPen 38% · Mélenchon 17% · Attal 14% · Retailleau 9% · Hollande 8%View
Cluster17Le Grand Continent22 July 2026 – 24 July 20261,506en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 30.1% · Mélenchon 18.2% · Philippe 18.1% · Glucksmann 10.2% · Retailleau 7.8%View
VerianL'Hémicycle8 July 2026 – 10 July 20261,047en ligne (panel), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 37% · Philippe 17% · Mélenchon 15% · Glucksmann 11% · Attal 8%View
ElabeBFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche9 July 2026 – 10 July 20261,503en ligne (Internet), quotasPen 35% · Philippe 16.5% · Mélenchon 16% · Glucksmann 10.5% · Retailleau 8%View
OpinionWayLes Echos, Radio Classique8 July 2026 – 9 July 2026963en ligne (CAWI), questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 35% · Philippe 18% · Mélenchon 13% · Glucksmann 9% · Retailleau 8%View
Toluna Harris InteractiveM6, RTL7 July 2026 – 8 July 20261,592en ligne, quotasPen 36% · Mélenchon 16% · Attal 16% · Hollande 8% · Retailleau 8%View
Ifop-FiducialLCI, Le Figaro7 July 2026 – 8 July 2026984en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasPen 36% · Mélenchon 15% · Attal 15% · Glucksmann 12% · Retailleau 10%View
Ifop-FiducialLCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio22 June 2026 – 24 June 20261,415en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasBardella 36% · Philippe 14% · Mélenchon 13% · Glucksmann 9% · Attal 8%View
Ipsos bvaLe Parisien27 May 2026 – 28 May 20261,500en ligne (Access Panel Ipsos), quotasBardella 33.5% · Mélenchon 13% · Philippe 13% · Glucksmann 11% · Attal 8.5%View
Ifop-FiducialLCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio26 May 2026 – 28 May 20261,501en ligne, questionnaire auto-administré, quotasBardella 34% · Philippe 14% · Mélenchon 13% · Glucksmann 9% · Attal 9%View
Toluna Harris InteractiveM6, RTL25 May 2026 – 27 May 20261,744en ligne, quotasBardella 34% · Philippe 17% · Mélenchon 15% · Glucksmann 10% · Retailleau 9%View

Online polls, quota method; method, sample and the sub-sample used for voting intentions are detailed in each notice. Every poll has margins of error; they are given, with the full wording of the questions, in each survey’s notice on the Commission des sondages website. A poll is not a forecast. No poll may be published the day before and the day of the vote. commission-des-sondages.fr

Upcoming national elections in the EU

  • Bulgaria · Presidential

    1 November 2026

    Results pending at the time of update.

    TodaySource

  • Spain · Parliamentary

    29 November 2026

    Called by Royal Decree 806/2026.

    in 28 dSource

  • Germany · Head of state (indirect)

    30 January 2027

    The president is not directly elected.

    in 90 dSource

  • Estonia · Parliamentary

    7 March 2027

    in 126 dSource

  • France · Presidential

    18 April 2027 · 2nd round 2 May 2027

    First round 18 April, second round 2 May 2027.

    in 168 dSource

  • Finland · Parliamentary

    18 April 2027

    in 168 dSource

  • Latvia · Head of state (indirect)

    Before 8 July 2027.

    Source

  • Greece · Parliamentary

    By July 2027 at the latest (end of term).

    Source

  • Slovakia · Parliamentary

    By September 2027 at the latest.

    Source

  • Poland · Parliamentary

    In autumn 2027.

    Source

  • Slovenia · Presidential

    In autumn 2027 (end of the president’s term).

    Source

  • Italy · Parliamentary

    By the end of 2027 at the latest.

    Source

  • Czechia · Presidential

    By January 2028 at the latest.

    Source

  • Cyprus · Presidential

    In February 2028.

    Source

  • Croatia · Parliamentary

    By spring 2028 at the latest.

    Source

  • Lithuania · Parliamentary

    8 October 2028

    in 707 dSource

  • Luxembourg · Parliamentary

    By October 2028 at the latest.

    Source

  • Austria · Presidential

    In autumn 2028.

    Source

  • Romania · Parliamentary

    By the end of 2028 at the latest.

    Source

Latest results, country by country

Austria

Presidential · 9 October 2022

Alexander Van der Bellen56.69%

Independent (ex-Greens; backed by Greens, SPÖ, NEOS)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 29 September 2024

FPÖ28.8%

came first · turnout 77.7%

secondary source
Bulgaria

Presidential · 1 November 2026

Runoff on 1 November 2026, result pending

secondary source

Parliamentary · 19 April 2026

Progressive Bulgaria (Rumen Radev)43.91%

came first · turnout 50.7%

secondary source
Croatia

Presidential · 12 January 2025

Zoran Milanović74.68%

Independent (backed by SDP and others)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 17 April 2024

HDZ-led coalition34.42%

came first · turnout 62.31%

secondary source
Cyprus

Presidential · 12 February 2023

Nikos Christodoulides51.97%

Independent (backed by DIKO, EDEK, DIPA, Solidarity)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 24 May 2026

DISY (Democratic Rally)27.15%

came first · turnout 66.91%

secondary source
Finland

Presidential · 11 February 2024

Alexander Stubb51.62%

National Coalition Party (KOK)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 2 April 2023

National Coalition Party (KOK)20.8%

came first · turnout 72.6%

secondary source
France

Presidential · 24 April 2022

Emmanuel Macron58.55%

La République En Marche! (now Renaissance)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 30 June 2024

RN and allies (first round)33.21%

came first · turnout 66.71%

secondary source
Ireland

Presidential · 24 October 2025

Catherine Connolly63.36%

Independent (backed by Sinn Féin, Labour, Social Democrats, PBP-S, Greens)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 29 November 2024

Fianna Fáil21.86%

came first · turnout 59.7%

secondary source
Poland

Presidential · 1 June 2025

Karol Nawrocki50.89%

Independent (backed by PiS)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 15 October 2023

PiS (United Right)35.38%

came first · turnout 74.38%

secondary source
Portugal

Presidential · 8 February 2026

António José Seguro66.84%

Socialist Party (PS)

secondary source

Parliamentary · 18 May 2025

Democratic Alliance (AD)31.8%

came first · turnout 58.3%

secondary source

Who governs Europe

For each EU member state at the given date, the party family of the head of government’s party (the president in France and Cyprus, who leads the executive). Families and positions are those assigned by the ParlGov academic database from expert surveys; for parties too recent, the 2024 Chapel Hill survey. Situation on 1 July of each year.

Number of EU countries by the party family of their head of government

010201995 · Social democrats : 71995 · Liberals : 11995 · Christian democrats : 41995 · Conservatives : 21995 · No family : 119951996 · Social democrats : 71996 · Christian democrats : 51996 · Conservatives : 31997 · Social democrats : 81997 · Christian democrats : 41997 · Conservatives : 31998 · Social democrats : 81998 · Christian democrats : 41998 · Conservatives : 31999 · Social democrats : 101999 · Christian democrats : 21999 · Conservatives : 32000 · Social democrats : 82000 · Liberals : 12000 · Christian democrats : 22000 · Conservatives : 32000 · No family : 120002001 · Social democrats : 82001 · Liberals : 12001 · Christian democrats : 22001 · Conservatives : 42002 · Social democrats : 62002 · Liberals : 32002 · Christian democrats : 22002 · Conservatives : 42003 · Social democrats : 42003 · Agrarians : 12003 · Liberals : 32003 · Christian democrats : 32003 · Conservatives : 42004 · Social democrats : 82004 · Agrarians : 22004 · Liberals : 42004 · Christian democrats : 52004 · Conservatives : 62005 · Social democrats : 92005 · Agrarians : 12005 · Liberals : 32005 · Christian democrats : 62005 · Conservatives : 620052006 · Social democrats : 82006 · Agrarians : 12006 · Liberals : 32006 · Christian democrats : 72006 · Conservatives : 62007 · Social democrats : 92007 · Agrarians : 12007 · Liberals : 42007 · Christian democrats : 52007 · Conservatives : 82008 · Radical left and communists : 12008 · Social democrats : 82008 · Agrarians : 12008 · Liberals : 32008 · Christian democrats : 62008 · Conservatives : 82009 · Radical left and communists : 12009 · Social democrats : 72009 · Agrarians : 12009 · Liberals : 32009 · Christian democrats : 52009 · Conservatives : 82009 · No party, technocrats : 22010 · Radical left and communists : 12010 · Social democrats : 62010 · Agrarians : 12010 · Liberals : 32010 · Christian democrats : 42010 · Conservatives : 112010 · Radical right : 120102011 · Radical left and communists : 12011 · Social democrats : 42011 · Liberals : 52011 · Christian democrats : 52011 · Conservatives : 112011 · Radical right : 12012 · Radical left and communists : 12012 · Social democrats : 62012 · Liberals : 32012 · Christian democrats : 52012 · Conservatives : 102012 · Radical right : 12012 · No family : 12013 · Social democrats : 112013 · Liberals : 32013 · Christian democrats : 42013 · Conservatives : 92013 · No party, technocrats : 12014 · Social democrats : 122014 · Liberals : 42014 · Christian democrats : 32014 · Conservatives : 82014 · No party, technocrats : 12015 · Radical left and communists : 12015 · Social democrats : 112015 · Agrarians : 12015 · Liberals : 62015 · Christian democrats : 22015 · Conservatives : 62015 · Radical right : 120152016 · Radical left and communists : 12016 · Social democrats : 102016 · Agrarians : 22016 · Liberals : 52016 · Christian democrats : 22016 · Conservatives : 52016 · Radical right : 12016 · No party, technocrats : 22017 · Radical left and communists : 12017 · Social democrats : 102017 · Agrarians : 32017 · Liberals : 52017 · Christian democrats : 32017 · Conservatives : 52017 · Radical right : 12018 · Radical left and communists : 12018 · Social democrats : 82018 · Agrarians : 32018 · Liberals : 62018 · Christian democrats : 42018 · Conservatives : 42018 · Radical right : 12018 · No family : 12019 · Radical left and communists : 12019 · Social democrats : 102019 · Agrarians : 12019 · Liberals : 52019 · Christian democrats : 32019 · Conservatives : 52019 · Radical right : 12019 · No family : 12019 · No party, technocrats : 12020 · Social democrats : 72020 · Agrarians : 12020 · Liberals : 62020 · Christian democrats : 52020 · Conservatives : 62020 · Radical right : 12020 · No family : 120202021 · Social democrats : 62021 · Liberals : 72021 · Christian democrats : 52021 · Conservatives : 72021 · No family : 12021 · No party, technocrats : 12022 · Social democrats : 82022 · Liberals : 62022 · Christian democrats : 32022 · Conservatives : 82022 · Single-issue parties : 12022 · No family : 12023 · Social democrats : 72023 · Liberals : 52023 · Christian democrats : 42023 · Conservatives : 72023 · Radical right : 12023 · Single-issue parties : 12023 · No party, technocrats : 22024 · Social democrats : 72024 · Liberals : 52024 · Christian democrats : 52024 · Conservatives : 72024 · Radical right : 12024 · No party, technocrats : 22025 · Social democrats : 62025 · Liberals : 42025 · Christian democrats : 52025 · Conservatives : 82025 · Radical right : 22025 · No party, technocrats : 220252026 · Social democrats : 52026 · Liberals : 62026 · Christian democrats : 72026 · Conservatives : 52026 · Radical right : 12026 · No family : 12026 · No party, technocrats : 12026 · Party too recent, not rated : 1now · Social democrats : 5now · Liberals : 5now · Christian democrats : 7now · Conservatives : 5now · Radical right : 1now · No family : 1now · No party, technocrats : 2now · Party too recent, not rated : 1now
  • Radical left and communists
  • Social democrats
  • Agrarians
  • Liberals
  • Christian democrats
  • Conservatives
  • Radical right
  • Single-issue parties
  • No family
  • No party, technocrats
  • Party too recent, not rated

Median left-right position of these parties (0 = left, 10 = right)

45671995 : 5.13 (14 countries rated)1996 : 5.77 (15 countries rated)1997 : 4.5 (15 countries rated)1998 : 4.5 (15 countries rated)1999 : 4.05 (15 countries rated)2000 : 4.43 (14 countries rated)2001 : 4.5 (15 countries rated)2002 : 6.29 (15 countries rated)2003 : 6.29 (15 countries rated)2004 : 5.8 (25 countries rated)2005 : 5.94 (25 countries rated)2006 : 6.07 (25 countries rated)2007 : 6.05 (27 countries rated)2008 : 6.07 (27 countries rated)2009 : 5.94 (25 countries rated)2010 : 6.24 (27 countries rated)2011 : 6.54 (27 countries rated)2012 : 6.5 (26 countries rated)2013 : 6.29 (27 countries rated)2014 : 6.25 (27 countries rated)2015 : 6.25 (28 countries rated)2016 : 6.03 (26 countries rated)2017 : 5.9 (28 countries rated)2018 : 6 (27 countries rated)2019 : 6 (26 countries rated)2020 : 6.36 (26 countries rated)2021 : 6.54 (25 countries rated)2022 : 6.54 (25 countries rated)2023 : 6.66 (24 countries rated)2024 : 6.47 (25 countries rated)2025 : 6.45 (25 countries rated)2026 : 6.24 (25 countries rated)now : 6.25 (24 countries rated)1995200020052010201520202025now

The median does not say who governs: each country counts as one regardless of population, and positions are expert estimates.

Today

  • Christian StockerAustria · Federal Chancellor
    Christian democrats
  • Bart De WeverBelgium · Prime Minister
    Conservatives
  • PB
    Rumen RadevBulgaria · Prime Minister
    Party too recent, not rated
  • Andrej PlenkovićCroatia · Prime Minister
    Christian democrats
  • –
    Nikos ChristodoulidesCyprus · President
    No party, technocrats
  • Andrej BabišCzechia · Prime Minister
    Liberals
  • Mette FrederiksenDenmark · Prime Minister
    Social democrats
  • Kristen MichalEstonia · Prime Minister
    Liberals
  • Petteri OrpoFinland · Prime Minister
    Conservatives
  • Emmanuel MacronFrance · President of the Republic
    Liberals
  • Sébastien LecornuFrance · Prime Minister
    Liberals
  • Friedrich MerzGermany · Federal Chancellor
    Christian democrats
  • Kyriakos MitsotakisGreece · Prime Minister
    Christian democrats
  • Péter MagyarHungary · Prime Minister
    Christian democrats
  • Micheál MartinIreland · Taoiseach
    Conservatives
  • Giorgia MeloniItaly · President of the Council of Ministers
    Radical right
  • AS
    Andris KulbergsLatvia · Prime Minister
    No family
  • Mindaugas SinkevičiusLithuania · Prime Minister
    Social democrats
  • Luc FriedenLuxembourg · Prime Minister
    Christian democrats
  • Robert AbelaMalta · Prime Minister
    Social democrats
  • Rob JettenNetherlands · Prime Minister
    Liberals
  • Donald TuskPoland · Prime Minister
    Conservatives
  • Luís MontenegroPortugal · Prime Minister
    Liberals
  • –
    Luca NiculescuRomania · Prime Minister
    No party, technocrats
  • Robert FicoSlovakia · Prime Minister
    Social democrats
  • Janez JanšaSlovenia · Prime Minister
    Christian democrats
  • Pedro SánchezSpain · President of the Government
    Social democrats
  • Ulf KristerssonSweden · Prime Minister
    Conservatives

Sources : ParlGov (Döring, Holger, Constantin Huber and Philip Manow. ParlGov, Parliaments and governments database, development version.) · Chapel Hill Expert Survey 2024 · governments since June 2023: official government websites and encyclopedias, checked on 1 November 2026.

Method

  • Polls: only those whose notice is published by the Commission des sondages. Every figure was cross-checked with that notice. Polls without a notice were left out, as was one poll commissioned by a person tested as a candidate.
  • No averages, smoothed trends or projections: pollsters test different scenarios, which we do not mix.
  • Calendar: official dates when set (sources linked), otherwise the legal deadline. Results: source shown for each line; “secondary source” flags an encyclopedia or the press when no official page could be read.
  • Last updated: 1 November 2026.